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Tue 16 Nov 2021 14:40 - 15:00 at Grand Auditorium - Cyber Threat Intelligence Chair(s): Gurvan LE GUERNIC

Cyber-security has emerged as one of the most pressing issues for society with actors trying to use offensive capabilities and those who try to leverage on defensive capabilities to secure their assets or knowledge. However, in cyber-space attackers oftentimes have a significant first mover advantage leading to a dynamic cat and mouse game with defenders. Cyber Treat Intelligence (CTI) on past attacks bears potentials that can be used by means of predictive analytics to minimise the attackers first mover advantage. Yet, attack prediction is not an established means and automation levels are low. Within this work, we present Attack Forecast and Prediction (AFP) which is based on MITRE Adversarial Tactics, Techniques and Common Knowledge (ATT&CK). AFP consists of four modules representing different analytical procedures which are clustering, link prediction, time series analysis, and genetic algorithms. AFP identifies trends in the usage of attack techniques and crafts forecasts and predictions on future malware and the attack techniques used. We rely on time sorting to generate subgraphs of MITRE ATT&CK and evaluate the accuracy of predictions generated by AFP based on these.

Tue 16 Nov

Displayed time zone: Brussels, Copenhagen, Madrid, Paris change

13:30 - 15:00
Cyber Threat IntelligenceCall for Papers at Grand Auditorium
Chair(s): Gurvan LE GUERNIC DGA MI & Université de Rennes 1
13:30
30m
Talk
La Threat Intelligence comme vecteur d’automatisation de la Cyberdéfense
Call for Papers
Laurent Cordival BEIJAFLORE, Matthieu Riche BEIJAFLORE
Media Attached File Attached
14:00
20m
Talk
Automatisation de l'analyse de binaires : de la collecte source ouverte à la Threat Intel
Call for Papers
Media Attached
14:20
20m
Talk
Automated Risk Analysis of a Vulnerability Disclosure Using Active Learning
Call for Papers
Clément Elbaz Univ Rennes, Inria, CNRS, IRISA, DGA, Louis RILLING DGA-MI, Christine Morin Inria
Media Attached
14:40
20m
Talk
Attack Forecast and Prediction
Call for Papers
Florian Kaiser Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Tobias Budig Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Elisabeth Goebel Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Tessa Fischer Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Jurek Muff Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Marcus Wiens Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Frank Schultmann Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Media Attached