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MSR 2022
Mon 23 - Tue 24 May 2022
co-located with ICSE 2022

The number of Open Source projects hosted in social coding platforms such as GitHub is constantly growing. However, many of these projects are not regularly maintained and some are even abandoned shortly after they were created. In this paper we analyze early project development dynamics in software projects hosted on GitHub, including their survival rate. To this aim, we collected all 1,127 GitHub repositories from four different ecosystems (i.e., NPM packages, R packages, WordPress plugins and Laravel packages) created in 2016. We stored their activity in a time series database and analyzed their activity evolution along their lifespan, from 2016 to now. Our results reveal that the prototypical development process consists of intensive coding-driven active periods followed by long periods of inactivity. More importantly, we have found that a significant number of projects die in the first year of existence with the survival rate decreasing year after year. In fact, the probability of surviving longer than five years is less than 50% though some types of projects have better chances of survival.

Thu 19 May

Displayed time zone: Eastern Time (US & Canada) change

03:00 - 03:50
Session 8: Large-Scale Mining & Software EcosystemsTechnical Papers / Data and Tool Showcase Track at MSR Main room - odd hours
Chair(s): Fiorella Zampetti University of Sannio, Italy, Gregorio Robles Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
03:00
7m
Talk
An Empirical Study on the Survival Rate of GitHub Projects
Technical Papers
Adem Ait-Fonolla IN3 - UOC, Javier Luis Cánovas Izquierdo IN3 - UOC, Jordi Cabot Open University of Catalonia, Spain
Pre-print
03:07
7m
Talk
A Large-Scale Comparison of Python Code in Jupyter Notebooks and ScriptsDistinguished Paper Award
Technical Papers
Konstantin Grotov JetBrains Research, ITMO University, Sergey Titov JetBrains Research, Vladimir Sotnikov JetBrains Research, Yaroslav Golubev JetBrains Research, Timofey Bryksin JetBrains Research; HSE University
DOI Pre-print
03:14
7m
Talk
Do Customized Android Frameworks Keep Pace with Android?
Technical Papers
Pei Liu Monash University, Mattia Fazzini University of Minnesota, John Grundy Monash University, Li Li Monash University
03:21
4m
Talk
Lupa: A Platform for Large Scale Analysis of The Progamming Language Usage
Data and Tool Showcase Track
Anna Vlasova JetBrains Research, Maria Tigina JetBrains Research, ITMO University, Ilya Vlasov Saint Petersburg State University, Anastasiia Birillo JetBrains Research, Yaroslav Golubev JetBrains Research, Timofey Bryksin JetBrains Research; HSE University
DOI Pre-print
03:25
4m
Talk
GitDelver Enterprise Dataset (GDED): An Industrial Closed-source Dataset for Socio-Technical Research
Data and Tool Showcase Track
Nicolas Riquet University of Namur, Xavier Devroey University of Namur, Benoît Vanderose University of Namur
Pre-print
03:29
4m
Talk
DaSEA – A Dataset for Software Ecosystem Analysis
Data and Tool Showcase Track
Petya Buchkova IT University of Copenhagen, Joakim Hey Hinnerskov IT University of Copenhagen, Kasper Olsen IT University of Copenhagen, Rolf-Helge Pfeiffer IT University of Copenhagen
Pre-print Media Attached
03:33
4m
Talk
Dataset: Dependency Networks of Open Source Libraries Available Through CocoaPods, Carthage and Swift PM
Data and Tool Showcase Track
Kristiina Rahkema University of Tartu, Dietmar Pfahl University of Tartu
Pre-print Media Attached
03:37
13m
Live Q&A
Discussions and Q&A
Technical Papers


Information for Participants