Collective Risk Minimization via a Bayesian Model for Statistical Software TestingTechnical
In the last four years, the number of distinct autonomous vehicles platforms deployed in the streets of California increased 6-fold, while the reported accidents increased 12-fold. This can become a trend with no signs of subsiding as it is fueled by a constant stream of innovations in hardware sensors and machine learning software. Meanwhile, if we expect the public and regulators to trust the autonomous vehicle platforms, we need to find better ways to solve the problem of adding technological complexity without increasing the risk of accidents. We studied this problem from the perspective of reliability engineering in which a given risk of an accident has an associated severity and probability of occurring. Timely information on accidents is important for engineers to anticipate and reuse previous failures to approximate the risk of accidents in a new city. However, this is challenging in the context of autonomous vehicles because of the sparse nature of data on the operational scenarios (driving trajectories in a new city). Our approach was to mitigate data sparsity by reducing the state space through the monitoring of multiple-vehicles operations. We then minimized the risk of accidents by determining proper allocation of tests for each equivalence class. Our contributions comprise (1) a set of strategies to monitor the operational data of multiple autonomous vehicles, (2) a Bayesian model that estimates changes in the risk of accidents, and (3) a feedback control-loop that minimizes these risks by reallocating test effort. Our results are promising in a sense that we were able to measure and control risk for a diversity of changes in the operational scenarios. We evaluated our models with data from two real cities with distinct traffic patterns and made the data available for the community.
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07:00 - 08:20 | Session 5: Design, Verification & ExplainabilitySEAMS 2020 at SEAMS Chair(s): Javier Camara University of York | ||
07:00 5mTalk | Collective Risk Minimization via a Bayesian Model for Statistical Software TestingTechnical SEAMS 2020 Joachim Haensel Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam, Germany, Christian Medeiros Adriano Hasso-Plattner-Institute, Potsdam, Johannes Dyck Hasso Plattner Institute for Software Systems Engineering, Germany, Holger Giese Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam Pre-print Media Attached | ||
07:05 5mTalk | Expecting the Unexpected: Developing Autonomous-System Design Principles for Reacting to Unpredicted Events and ConditionsNIER SEAMS 2020 Assaf Marron Weizmann Institute of Science, Israel, Lior Limonad IBM Corporation, Israel, Sarah Pollack Weizmann Institute of Science, Israel, David Harel Weizmann Institute of Science, Israel Media Attached | ||
07:10 5mTalk | Self-Protection Against Business Logic VulnerabilitiesNIER SEAMS 2020 Silvan Zeller Omegapoint AB, Sweden, Narges Khakpour Linnaeus University, Danny Weyns KU Leuven, Daniel Deogun Omegapoint AB, Sweden Media Attached File Attached | ||
07:15 5mTalk | Towards Highly Scalable Runtime Models with HistoryNIER SEAMS 2020 Lucas Sakizloglou Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam, Sona Ghahremani Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam, Thomas Brand , Matthias Barkowsky Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam, Germany, Holger Giese Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam DOI Pre-print Media Attached | ||
07:20 60mOther | Q&A and Discussion (Session 5) SEAMS 2020 |