Look Before You Leap: An Exploratory Study of Uncertainty Analysis for Large Language Models
The recent performance leap of Large Language Models (LLMs) opens up new opportunities across numerous industrial applications and domains. However, the potential erroneous behavior (e.g., the generation of misinformation and hallucination) has also raised severe concerns for the trustworthiness of LLMs, especially in safety-, security- and reliability- sensitive industrial scenarios, potentially hindering real-world adoptions. While uncertainty estimation has shown its potential for interpreting the prediction risks made by classic machine learning (ML) models, the unique characteristics of recent LLMs (e.g., adopting self-attention mechanism as its core, very large-scale model size, often used in generative contexts) pose new challenges for the behavior analysis of LLMs. Up to the present, little progress has been made to better understand whether and to what extent uncertainty estimation can help characterize the capability boundary of an LLM to counteract its undesired behavior, which is considered to be of great importance with the potential wide-range applications of LLMs across industry domains. To bridge the gap, in this paper, we initiate an early exploratory study of the risk assessment of LLMs from the lens of uncertainty. In particular, we conduct a large-scale study with as many as twelve uncertainty estimation methods and eight general LLMs on four NLP tasks and seven programming-capable LLMs on two code generation tasks to investigate to what extent uncertainty estimation techniques could help characterize the prediction risks of LLMs. Our findings confirm the potential of uncertainty estimation for revealing LLMs’ uncertain/non-factual predictions. The insights derived from our study can pave the way for more advanced analysis and research on LLMs, ultimately aiming at enhancing their trustworthiness.
Tue 24 JunDisplayed time zone: Amsterdam, Berlin, Bern, Rome, Stockholm, Vienna change
10:30 - 12:30 | SE for LLMJournal First / Industry Papers / Demonstrations / Research Papers / Ideas, Visions and Reflections at Cosmos 3C Chair(s): Hongyu Zhang Chongqing University | ||
10:30 10mTalk | Enhancing Code LLM Training with Programmer Attention Ideas, Visions and Reflections Yifan Zhang Vanderbilt University, Chen Huang Sichuan University, Zachary Karas Vanderbilt University, Thuy Dung Nguyen Vanderbilt University, Kevin Leach Vanderbilt University, Yu Huang Vanderbilt University | ||
10:40 20mTalk | Risk Assessment Framework for Code LLMs via Leveraging Internal States Industry Papers Yuheng Huang The University of Tokyo, Lei Ma The University of Tokyo & University of Alberta, Keizaburo Nishikino Fujitsu Limited, Takumi Akazaki Fujitsu Limited | ||
11:00 20mTalk | An Empirical Study of Issues in Large Language Model Training Systems Industry Papers Yanjie Gao Microsoft Research, Ruiming Lu Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Haoxiang Lin Microsoft Research, Yueguo Chen Renmin University of China DOI | ||
11:20 20mTalk | Look Before You Leap: An Exploratory Study of Uncertainty Analysis for Large Language Models Journal First Yuheng Huang The University of Tokyo, Jiayang Song University of Alberta, Zhijie Wang University of Alberta, Shengming Zhao University of Alberta, Huaming Chen The University of Sydney, Felix Juefei-Xu New York University, Lei Ma The University of Tokyo & University of Alberta Link to publication DOI Pre-print | ||
11:40 10mTalk | EvidenceBot: A Privacy-Preserving, Customizable RAG-Based Tool for Enhancing Large Language Model Interactions Demonstrations Nafiz Imtiaz Khan Department of Computer Science, University of California, Davis, Vladimir Filkov University of California at Davis, USA | ||
11:50 20mTalk | OpsEval: A Comprehensive Benchmark Suite for Evaluating Large Language Models’ Capability in IT Operations Domain Industry Papers Yuhe Liu Tsinghua University, Changhua Pei Computer Network Information Center at Chinese Academy of Sciences, Longlong Xu Tsinghua University, Bohan Chen Tsinghua University, Mingze Sun Tsinghua University, Zhirui Zhang Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Yongqian Sun Nankai University, Shenglin Zhang Nankai University, Kun Wang Zhejiang University, Haiming Zhang Chinese Academy of Sciences, Jianhui Li Computer Network Information Center at Chinese Academy of Sciences, Gaogang Xie Computer Network Information Center at Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xidao Wen BizSeer, Xiaohui Nie Computer Network Information Center at Chinese Academy of Sciences, Minghua Ma Microsoft, Dan Pei Tsinghua University | ||
12:10 20mTalk | Hallucination Detection in Large Language Models with Metamorphic Relations Research Papers Borui Yang Beijing University of Posts ad Telecommunications, Md Afif Al Mamun University of Calgary, Jie M. Zhang King's College London, Gias Uddin York University, Canada DOI |
Cosmos 3C is the third room in the Cosmos 3 wing.
When facing the main Cosmos Hall, access to the Cosmos 3 wing is on the left, close to the stairs. The area is accessed through a large door with the number “3”, which will stay open during the event.