Background. Developers spend more time fixing bugs refactoring the code to increase the maintainability than developing new features. Researchers investigated the code quality impact on fault-proneness, focusing on code smells and code metrics. Objective. We aim at advancing fault-inducing commit prediction using different variables, such as SonarQube rules, product, process metrics, and adopting different techniques. Method. We designed and conducted an empirical study among 29 Java projects analyzed with SonarQube and SZZ algorithm to identify fault-inducing and fault-fixing commits, computing different product and process metrics. Moreover, we investigated fault-proneness using different Machine and Deep Learning models.
Results. We analyzed 58,125 commits containing 33,865 faults and infected by more than 174 SonarQube rules violated 1.8M times, on which 48 software product and process metrics were calculated. Results clearly identified a set of features that provided a highly accurate fault prediction (more than 95% AUC). Regarding the performance of the classifiers, Deep Learning provided a higher accuracy compared with Machine Learning models. Conclusion. Future works might investigate whether other static analysis tools, such as FindBugs or Checkstyle, can provide similar or different results. Moreover, researchers might consider the adoption of time series analysis and anomaly detection techniques.